Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
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  • Kentucky is a -1.5 point favorite vs Tennessee
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Tennessee / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN

The Tennessee Volunteers visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Tennessee vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee+1.5 -115O 146.5 -110+105
Kentucky -1.5 -105U 146.5 -110-125

Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 54.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+10.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+6.15 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+5.30 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+1.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+1.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -17.25% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.44% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.35 Units / -30.43% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.03% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 15.9 offensive rebounds per game (349 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Tennessee is shooting 63% from the free throw line (123/195) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Tennessee has averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (283 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 10.8

Tennessee has averaged 6.5 turnovers per game (143 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,113 assists/ 597 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (2,099/5,361) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Tennessee has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (6,156 points/5,361 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,084/2,653) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tennessee has allowed 65.5 points per game (3,928 points/60 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73.4

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kentucky has allowed 36.8 points per game (847 points/23 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 39.6

Kentucky has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (605 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.