Tennessee vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 9

Louisville head coach Kenny Payne argues with a game official during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
  • Louisville is a -1.5 point favorite vs Tennessee
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Tennessee / Louisville TV channel: ACCN

The Tennessee Volunteers visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Nov. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Tennessee vs. Louisville Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee+1.5 -110O 155.5 -105+105
Louisville -1.5 -110U 155.5 -115-125

Tennessee vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 70.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 0-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.86% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 1-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.45% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee averaged 4.7 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/33 games) in the second half last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Tennessee averaged 16.7 assists per game (551 assists/33 games) last season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Tennessee averaged 79.0 points per game (2,606 points/33 games) last season — 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (343 assists/ 398 TOs) last season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Louisville made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee allowed opponents to shoot 39% (746/1,905) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tennessee averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (885 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Tennessee averaged 8.0 steals per game (264 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee averaged 8.0 steals per game (264 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.