Tennessee-Martin vs Morehead State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2023, 12:08 PM
  • Morehead State (20-10) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Tennessee-Martin (18-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (18-12) visit Ellis T. Johnson Arena to take on the Morehead State Eagles (20-10) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Morehead.

Morehead State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Tennessee-Martin vs. Morehead State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Tennessee-Martin vs. Morehead State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-Martin+4.5 -105O 144.5 -110+170
Morehead State -4.5 -115U 144.5 -110-210

Tennessee-Martin vs Morehead State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Morehead State will win this game with 61.5% confidence.

Tennessee-Martin vs Morehead State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Morehead State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee-Martin and Morehead State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UT Martin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UT Martin has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UT Martin has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UT Martin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • UT Martin have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)

Tennessee-Martin Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee-Martin has gone 11-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.32% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI

Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morehead State has gone 16-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 17.48% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 19.25% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Over for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Under for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI

Tennessee-Martin Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 81.2 points per game (1,950 points/24 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Tennessee-Martin is shooting 55% from inside the arc (465/849) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 51%

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 81.2 points per game (1,950 points/24 games) this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Tennessee-Martin is shooting 31% from three (396/1,263) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (885 assists/ 742 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Morehead State has 20.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Morehead State has averaged 1.29 points per shot (1,699 points/1,320 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Morehead State has a 37% free throw rate (489 free throw attempts/1,320 field goal attempts) this season — 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Tennessee-Martin Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (653 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 8.3 steals per game (200 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (653 rebounds/24 games) this season — 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 8.3 steals per game (200 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (592 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Morehead State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,778 points/3,356 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Morehead State has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Morehead State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 7.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.