Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

• Tennessee is a -7.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
• Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
• Tennessee / Mississippi State TV channel: ESPN2

The Tennessee Volunteers visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Starkville, MS.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-102).

The Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 63.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.

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Tennessee Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.50 Units / 1% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+3.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+2.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -20.83% ROI).

• 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 0.14% ROI
• 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.17% ROI
• 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.35 Units / -25.15% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 8-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.4 Units / -33.4% ROI).

• 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.06% ROI
• 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI
• 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (368 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Tennessee is shooting 63% from the free throw line (128/203) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (551 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.9

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 1.22 points per shot (1,780 points/1,454 shots) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Mississippi State has averaged 1.11 points per shot (822 points/740 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Mississippi State has averaged 1.17 points per shot (3,189 points/2,718 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Mississippi State has averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,778 points/2,200 shots) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.39

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (2,127/5,417) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Tennessee has allowed 35.2 points per game (2,148 points/61 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.8

Tennessee has allowed 66.3 points per game (6,230 points/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73.4

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (701/2,352) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has forced 8.3 turnovers per game (125 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 10.9

Mississippi State allowed 9.8 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0

Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (310/866) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Mississippi State has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (914 points/729 shots) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33

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