Tennessee State vs Tennessee-Martin Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2023, 12:31 PM
  • Tennessee-Martin (18-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Tennessee State (17-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Tennessee State Tigers (17-12) visit Skyhawk Arena to take on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (18-11) on Feb. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Martin.

Tennessee-Martin is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Tennessee State vs. Tennessee-Martin Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Tennessee State vs. Tennessee-Martin Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee State+4.5 -110O 159.5 -110+165
Tennessee-Martin -4.5 -110U 159.5 -110-200

Tennessee State vs Tennessee-Martin Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee-Martin will win this game with 60.3% confidence.

Tennessee State vs Tennessee-Martin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee-Martin will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee State and Tennessee-Martin, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tennessee State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UT Martin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 games (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UT Martin has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • UT Martin has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UT Martin has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UT Martin have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has gone 12-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -8.35% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 2.51% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -31.27% ROI

Tennessee-Martin Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee-Martin has gone 11-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -16% ROI).

  • 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 5.07% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has made 8.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tennessee State has an eFG% of 53% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Tennessee State has averaged 1.30 points per shot (1,866 points/1,433 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Tennessee State has 21.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Tennessee-Martin Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee-Martin is shooting 46% (692/1,508) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tennessee-Martin is shooting 55% from inside the arc (465/849) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 51%

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 81.2 points per game (1,950 points/24 games) this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Tennessee-Martin has a 35% free throw rate (526 free throw attempts/1,508 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 33rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (4,043 points/3,160 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,388/3,160) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (193/538) this season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee State has allowed 74.9 points per game (1,797 points/24 games) this season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Tennessee-Martin Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (653 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (653 rebounds/24 games) this season — 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 8.3 steals per game (200 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee-Martin has averaged 8.3 steals per game (200 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.