Texas-Arlington vs Utah Valley Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2023, 10:57 AM
  • Utah Valley (22-7) is a Utah Valley -12.5 point favorite vs Texas-Arlington (11-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas-Arlington Mavericks (11-18) visit UCCU Center to take on the Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7) on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Orem.

Utah Valley is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Texas-Arlington vs. Utah Valley Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Texas-Arlington vs. Utah Valley Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas-Arlington+12.5 -110O 135.5 -110+550
Utah Valley -12.5 -110U 135.5 -110-800

Texas-Arlington vs Utah Valley Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah Valley will win this game with 74.5% confidence.

Texas-Arlington vs Utah Valley Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah Valley will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas-Arlington and Utah Valley, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UT Arlington has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+18.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 away games (+14.30 Units / 159% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • UT Arlington have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+20.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games at home (+13.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Utah Valley have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Utah Valley have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Utah Valley has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Texas-Arlington Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas-Arlington has gone 13-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.3 Units / 46.77% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI

Utah Valley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah Valley has gone 18-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+9.2 Units / 32.17% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 18.06% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI

Texas-Arlington Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas-Arlington has an eFG% of 45% this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 52%

Texas-Arlington has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas-Arlington has averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (283 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Texas-Arlington has 283 offensive rebounds this season — most among WAC Teams

Utah Valley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley has averaged 76.5 points per game (1,836 points/24 games) this season — 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 74.6

Utah Valley has averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (790 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Utah Valley has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (376 assists/ 313 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Utah Valley has 20.8 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Texas-Arlington Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas-Arlington has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (161/442) this season — highest among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Texas-Arlington has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (397/1,110) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 32%

Texas-Arlington has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (515/1,173) this season — 4th highest among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Texas-Arlington has allowed 7.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th highest among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.9

Utah Valley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah Valley has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,634 points/1,531 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Utah Valley has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,634 points/1,531 shots) this season — best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.22

Utah Valley has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (366/1,235) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Utah Valley has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (691 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.