- Mississippi State is a -7.5 point favorite vs Texas
- Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
- Texas / Mississippi State TV channel: SECN
The Texas Longhorns visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Starkville, MS, USA.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Texas vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 151.5 total points.
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Texas vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas | +7.5 -115 | O 151.5 -115 | +240 |
| Mississippi State | -7.5 -105 | U 151.5 -105 | -300 |
Texas vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Texas vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Texas Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+4.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.83 Units / 4% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.50 Units / 2% ROI)
Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / -7.68% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -0.07% ROI
- 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 18.81% ROI
- 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -27.27% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -14.11% ROI).
- 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 0.59% ROI
- 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.75 Units / 11.76% ROI
- 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.75 Units / -21.16% ROI
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Texas shot 54% from three (14/26) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%
Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%
Texas averaged 1.4 turnovers per game (26 turnovers/18 games) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.2
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (385 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0
Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%
Mississippi State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (561/817) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State averaged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%
Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%
Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Texas allowed opponents to shoot 50% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (10/20) in transition last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has allowed 10.2 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Mississippi State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (269 steals/29 games) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Mississippi State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (525 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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