Texas vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

Missouri head coach Dennis Gates greets fans before the start of an NCAA college basketball game against Texas A&M Saturday, Feb. 8, 2025, in Columbia, Mo. (AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
(AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
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  • Missouri is a -1.5 point favorite vs Texas
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Texas / Missouri TV channel: ESPN2

The Texas Longhorns visit Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Columbia, MO.

Missouri is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Texas vs. Missouri Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas+1.5 -105O 150.5 -110+105
Missouri -1.5 -115U 150.5 -110-130

Texas vs Missouri Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this college basketball game with 55.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.2 Units / 16.67% ROI).

  • 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 0.08% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.55 Units / -20.86% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.6 Units / 0.69% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas has a 46% free throw rate (644 free throw attempts/1,397 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 10.8

Missouri is shooting 68% from the free throw line (220/324) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 75%

Missouri has a 45% free throw rate (1,490 free throw attempts/3,336 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri has averaged 1.50 points per shot (3,240 points/2,162 shots) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.38

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (5/17) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed 3.8 points per game (60 points/16 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,831 points/1,294 shots) last season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Missouri averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (4,062 points/3,255 shots) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (4,780 points/3,484 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.30


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