Texas Rio Grande Valley vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2023, 11:33 AM
  • Tarleton State (16-15) is a Tarleton St -7.5 point favorite vs Texas Rio Grande Valley (15-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (15-16) visit Michelob ULTRA Arena to take on the Tarleton State Texans (16-15) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Las Vegas.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Rio Grande Valley+7.5 -105O 146.5 -110+275
Tarleton State -7.5 -115U 146.5 -110-350

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this game with 64.8% confidence.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Rio Grande Valley will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Rio Grande Valley and Tarleton State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 away games (+1.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 37 games (+14.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Texas Rio Grande Valley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Rio Grande Valley has gone 13-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI).

  • 11-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 28.99% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 16.81% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.55 Units / -25.46% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has gone 13-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -15.27% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Texas Rio Grande Valley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Rio Grande Valley has 26.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (379 turnovers/23 games) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (379 turnovers/23 games) this season — highest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Texas Rio Grande Valley has 26.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 20.8

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has averaged 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (199 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Tarleton State has averaged 11.8 assists per game (624 assists/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 13.9

Texas Rio Grande Valley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 5.1 steals per game (276 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 5.0 steals per game (114 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 5.0 steals per game (114 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Texas Rio Grande Valley has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (587 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 20.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,062 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (203 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Tarleton State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (440 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.