- Arkansas State is a -11.5 point favorite vs Texas State
- Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
- Texas State / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPN+
The Texas State Bobcats visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Jan. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Jonesboro, AR.
Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Texas State vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 156.5 total points.
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Texas State vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Texas State vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has a 5-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.95 Units / -36.17% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -10.55% ROI
- 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 10-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -1.09% ROI
- 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
- 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (235/641) last season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (349/957) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (114/316) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Texas State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,258 assists/ 950 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Arkansas State had 440 offensive rebounds last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (204 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (235/641) last season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (349/957) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (114/316) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Texas State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,258 assists/ 950 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Arkansas State had 440 offensive rebounds last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (204 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0
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