Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

The coach from Arkansas State Red Wolves shouting something
(AP Photo)
  • Arkansas State is a -9.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Texas State / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Jonesboro, AR, USA.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Texas State vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+9.5 -115O 150.5 -115+310
Arkansas State -9.5 -105U 150.5 -105-400

Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games (+15.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+22.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5.53% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 8.26% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting the Over for +6.5 Units / 32.83% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting the Under for -8.2 Units / -41.41% ROI

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 5.73% ROI).

  • 15-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.5 Units / 13.89% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -19.66% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.15 Units / 10.26% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State is shooting 39% from three (118/305) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas State is shooting 47% (544/1,154) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 43%

Texas State is shooting 77% from the free throw line (357/463) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 70%

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State had 440 offensive rebounds last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State made 9.2 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas State is shooting 41% (533/1,288) this season — 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Arkansas State has a TS% of 45% this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (149/416) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%

Texas State allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (213/671) last season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (547 rebounds/20 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Arkansas State has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (547 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (127/443) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State averaged 5.6 steals per game (207 steals/37 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.