Texas State vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 14

Florida Atlantic forward Tre Carroll (25) gestures after scoring and drawing a foul during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Tulsa, Saturday, Feb. 3, 2024, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Marta Lavandier)
(AP Photo/Marta Lavandier)
  • Florida Atlantic is a -8.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Texas State / Florida Atlantic TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats visit Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls on Dec. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Boca Raton, FL.

Florida Atlantic is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Texas State vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+8.5 -105O 149.5 -110+310
Florida Atlantic -8.5 -115U 149.5 -110-400

Texas State vs Florida Atlantic Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida Atlantic will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+6.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+3.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 6-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 27.8% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Florida Atlantic Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida Atlantic has a 5-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -27.6% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas State had an eFG% of 48% last season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Atlantic had a TS% of 50% last season — 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Florida Atlantic averaged 1.35 points per shot (2,715 points/2,010 shots) last season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Florida Atlantic averaged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (387 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Florida Atlantic averaged 82.3 points per game (2,715 points/33 games) last season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State forced 12.4 turnovers per game (421 turnovers/34 games) last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.8

Texas State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

Florida Atlantic Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Atlantic averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (876 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Florida Atlantic stole the ball 241 times last season — 4th most among AAC Teams

Florida Atlantic allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (2,417 points/2,023 shots) last season — 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Florida Atlantic allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (250/731) last season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.