Texas State vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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  • Georgia Southern is a -4.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Texas State / Georgia Southern TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats visit Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Statesboro, GA.

Georgia Southern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Texas State vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Georgia Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Texas State vs Georgia Southern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Georgia Southern will win this college basketball game with 62.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -17.36% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -3.15% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Georgia Southern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Georgia Southern has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -12.86% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Texas State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Texas State had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia Southern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (1,035 assists/ 1,066 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Georgia Southern is shooting 32% from three (221/699) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Georgia Southern has 25.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 20.7

Georgia Southern shot 43% (799/1,853) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (211 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Texas State has forced 13.2 turnovers per game (304 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.2

Texas State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (211 steals/23 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Texas State has allowed 70.6 points per game (1,623 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 73.6

Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia Southern allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,465 points/1,826 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Georgia Southern allowed 79.5 points per game (2,465 points/31 games) last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Georgia Southern allowed 79.5 points per game (2,465 points/31 games) last season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 73.8

Georgia Southern has allowed 79.7 points per game (1,912 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 73.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.