Texas State vs Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 11:21 AM
  • Old Dominion (19-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Texas State (14-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (14-18) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Old Dominion Monarchs (19-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Pensacola.

Old Dominion is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Texas State vs. Old Dominion Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Old Dominion Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+4.5 -105O 129.5 -110+165
Old Dominion -4.5 -115U 129.5 -110-200

Texas State vs Old Dominion Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Old Dominion will win this game with 56.0% confidence.

Texas State vs Old Dominion Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Old Dominion, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 away games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 42 games (+5.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has gone 8-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-12.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -17.12% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI

Old Dominion Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Old Dominion has gone 16-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 1.57% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -17.55% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has a TS% of 43% this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas State is shooting 43% (564/1,321) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 45%

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends:

Old Dominion has made 5.3 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Old Dominion has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Old Dominion has 20.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Old Dominion has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Texas State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Texas State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (160 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Old Dominion Defensive Stats & Trends:

Old Dominion has averaged 6.4 steals per game (353 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Old Dominion has averaged 6.4 steals per game (148 steals/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Old Dominion has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,356 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Old Dominion has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (258 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.