Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • South Alabama is a -4.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Texas State / South Alabama TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats visit Mitchell Center to take on the South Alabama Jaguars on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Mobile, AL.

South Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-118).

The Texas State vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this college basketball game with 64.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+7.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -8.04% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 7.99% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.88% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 10.26% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Texas State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (217 turnovers/26 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.9

South Alabama averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (211 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

South Alabama has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,090 assists/ 819 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

South Alabama had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (461 assists/ 276 TOs) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (429/1,212) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Texas State has averaged 9.0 steals per game (243 steals/27 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Texas State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (235/641) last season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (194/571) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has allowed 12.7 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

South Alabama has allowed 12.7 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 8.0

South Alabama has allowed 10.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.5

South Alabama allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.