Texas State vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:40 AM
  • Southern Miss (18-4) are -7.5 point favorites vs Texas State (11-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (11-11) visit Reed Green Coliseum to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (18-4) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Hattiesburg.

Southern Miss is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Texas State vs. Southern Miss Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Southern Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+7.5 -105129.5 -110+280
Southern Miss -7.5 -115129.5 -110-375

Texas State vs Southern Miss Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 67.4% confidence.

Texas State vs Southern Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Miss will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Southern Miss, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has gone 6-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -12.1% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI

Southern Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Miss has gone 12-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.35 Units / 20.86% ROI).

  • 15-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.9 Units / 30.31% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has averaged 64.8 points per game (1,426 points/22 games) this season — 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Texas State has averaged 10.0 assists per game (219 assists/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Texas State has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Miss has averaged 15.3 assists per game (337 assists/22 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Southern Miss has averaged 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (241 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Southern Miss has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,793 points/3,210 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Southern Miss has made 6.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 21.6 defensive rebounds per game (476 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas State has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Texas State has allowed 65.0 points per game (1,429 points/22 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.5

Southern Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Miss has averaged 8.9 steals per game (195 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Southern Miss has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (497/1,218) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Southern Miss has allowed 63.6 points per game (1,399 points/22 games) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.5

Southern Miss has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (154/488) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.