Texas State vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 9

(AP Photo)
  • Troy is a -6.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Texas State / Troy TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans on Jan. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Troy, AL.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Texas State vs. Troy Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+6.5 -105O 135.5 -105+240
Troy -6.5 -115U 135.5 -115-300

Texas State vs Troy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 2.08% ROI).

  • 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -4.94% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 10.49% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -18.88% ROI

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 8-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.33% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Texas State has made 5.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,133 points/841 shots) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (610 turnovers/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Troy is shooting 61% from inside the arc (198/322) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 53%

Troy averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Troy has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (204 assists/ 210 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/15 games) this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (109/300) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy has averaged 10.3 steals per game (455 steals/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy stole the ball 317 times last season — most among Sunbelt Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.