Texas vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2023, 11:00 AM
  • TCU (19-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Texas (22-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The #9 Texas Longhorns (22-7) visit Schollmaier Arena to take on the #22 TCU Horned Frogs (19-10) on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Fort Worth.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Texas vs. TCU Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Texas vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas+2.5 -105O 149.5 -110+125
TCU -2.5 -115U 149.5 -110-150

Texas vs TCU Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 56.1% confidence.

Texas vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and TCU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 44 games (+18.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+17.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+6.55 Units / 37% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has gone 12-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -21.07% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 5.39% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 12.23% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -20.69% ROI

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has gone 15-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 7.67% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas has a TS% of 51% in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas is shooting 43% (39/90) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU is shooting 57% (275/485) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 52%

TCU is shooting 29% from three (114/390) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 50% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (10/20) in transition last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed 0.3 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.