Texas Tech vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 10:56 AM
  • Baylor (16-6) are -9.5 point favorites vs Texas Tech (12-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (12-10) visit Ferrell Center to take on the Baylor Bears (16-6) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Waco.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Texas Tech vs. Baylor Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Texas Tech vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech+9.5 -110O 143.5 -110+360
Baylor -9.5 -110U 143.5 -110-500

Texas Tech vs Baylor Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 69.8% confidence.

Texas Tech vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+12.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+11.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+6.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has gone 8-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has gone 10-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -4.15% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.54% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.05 Units / -4.35% ROI

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech shot 68% from inside the arc (26/38) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Baylor has attempted 569 threes this season — most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor has attempted 300 threes in the first half this season — most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor has averaged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (286 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Texas Tech allowed 1.5 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% (9/34) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.