Texas Tech vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:26 AM
  • Texas Tech (10-10) are -2.5 point favorites vs LSU (12-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (10-10) visit Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers (12-8) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Baton Rouge.

Texas Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Texas Tech vs. LSU Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Texas Tech vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech-2.5 -110130.5 -110-145
LSU +2.5 -110130.5 -110+120

Texas Tech vs LSU Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 56.7% confidence.

Texas Tech vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and LSU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 away games (+13.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games (+12.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 49 games (+6.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has gone 6-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -6.15% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has gone 6-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 2.6% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.15 Units / -24.58% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 15.83% ROI

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech had a TS% of 43% on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has averaged 7.6 turnovers per game (408 turnovers/54 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

LSU has averaged 34.3 points per game (686 points/20 games) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.4

LSU has averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,330 points/1,116 shots) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

LSU has averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (144 turnovers/20 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 1.5 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (384/1,337) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

LSU has averaged 9.6 steals per game (521 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

LSU has forced 16.0 turnovers per game (865 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (141/472) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.