Texas vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 6

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  • Tennessee is a -10.5 point favorite vs Texas
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Texas / Tennessee TV channel: ESPN2

The Texas Longhorns visit Food City Center to take on the Tennessee Volunteers on Jan. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Knoxville, TN.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Texas vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Texas vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 77.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 61.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+6.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games at home (+9.90 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+3.75 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+2.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -0.2% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 5-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI).

  • 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.05% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.06% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -17.92% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 34% (140/410) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 40%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,892/4,881) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Tennessee has allowed 61.9 points per game (2,104 points/34 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Tennessee has allowed 69.5 points per game (2,155 points/31 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 77.2

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 15.3 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/14 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Tennessee made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (551 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee averaged 16.7 assists per game (551 assists/33 games) last season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 34% (140/410) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 40%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,892/4,881) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Tennessee has allowed 61.9 points per game (2,104 points/34 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Tennessee has allowed 69.5 points per game (2,155 points/31 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 77.2

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 15.3 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/14 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Tennessee made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (551 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee averaged 16.7 assists per game (551 assists/33 games) last season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.