The Citadel vs Mercer Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2023, 12:10 PM
  • Mercer (12-18) is a -8.5 point favorite vs The Citadel (10-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The The Citadel Bulldogs (10-20) visit Hawkins Arena to take on the Mercer Bears (12-18) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Macon.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The The Citadel vs. Mercer Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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The Citadel vs. Mercer Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
The Citadel+8.5 -115O 135.5 -105+300
Mercer -8.5 -105U 135.5 -115-375

The Citadel vs Mercer Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mercer will win this game with 67.3% confidence.

The Citadel vs Mercer Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both The Citadel and Mercer, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • The Citadel has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Citadel have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Citadel have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has gone 12-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -14.57% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has gone 12-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -25.98% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -28.25% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 19.48% ROI

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 6.1 offensive rebounds per game (147 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

The Citadel is shooting 76% from the free throw line (301/397) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 73%

The Citadel has 275 turnovers this season — 4th fewest among Southern Teams

The Citadel has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (798 assists/ 644 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has made 5.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Mercer is shooting 34% from three (136/403) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mercer has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (325 assists/ 257 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Mercer has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (457 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 5.2 steals per game (124 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Citadel has averaged 4.9 steals per game (270 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Citadel has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,405 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.1

The Citadel has allowed 8.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,304 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Mercer has allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 8.2

Mercer has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (618 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Mercer has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (267 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.