The Citadel vs Mercer Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 29

Basketball referee making a call
(AP Photo)
  • Mercer is a -12.5 point favorite vs The Citadel
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • The Citadel / Mercer TV channel: ESPN+

The The Citadel Bulldogs visit Hawkins Arena to take on the Mercer Bears on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Macon, GA, USA.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The The Citadel vs. Mercer Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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The Citadel vs. Mercer Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
The Citadel+12.5 -115O 144.5 -115+550
Mercer -12.5 -105U 144.5 -105-800

The Citadel vs Mercer Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mercer will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

The Citadel vs Mercer Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Citadel has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Citadel have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Citadel has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 26 games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Citadel have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.25 Units / 6% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.84% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2.05 Units / -9.79% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel is shooting 31% from three (157/507) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

The Citadel averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,196 points/1,736 shots) last season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Citadel has 19.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 18.1

The Citadel has a 35% free throw rate (373 free throw attempts/1,076 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 30%

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer averaged 10.9 turnovers per game (338 turnovers/31 games) last season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Mercer is shooting 45% (608/1,367) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 45%

Mercer has averaged 14.2 assists per game (299 assists/21 games) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 14.9

Mercer is shooting 67% from the free throw line (266/397) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel allowed opponents to shoot 46% (833/1,828) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

The Citadel allowed 71.4 points per game (2,212 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.5

The Citadel allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (2,212 points/1,828 shots) last season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 1.22

The Citadel has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (413/1,179) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (678 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mercer has averaged 9.4 steals per game (198 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Mercer has 198 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams

Mercer has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (541 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.