The Citadel vs Samford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2023, 10:29 AM
  • Samford (17-9) are -14.5 point favorites vs The Citadel (9-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The The Citadel Bulldogs (9-17) visit Pete Hanna Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs (17-9) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Birmingham.

Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The The Citadel vs. Samford Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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The Citadel vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
The Citadel+14.5 -110O 146.5 -110+800
Samford -14.5 -110U 146.5 -110-1400

The Citadel vs Samford Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Samford will win this game with 75.7% confidence.

The Citadel vs Samford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Samford will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both The Citadel and Samford, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • The Citadel has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Citadel have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.60 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 away games (+1.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+20.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.25 Units / 20% ROI)

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has gone 10-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -34.45% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has gone 11-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.51% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 6.1 offensive rebounds per game (147 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

The Citadel is shooting 76% from the free throw line (301/397) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 73%

The Citadel has averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (275 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 11.6

The Citadel has averaged 73.6 points per game (4,049 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 73.4

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has 736 turnovers since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Southern Teams

Samford has 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 17.8

Samford has a 39% free throw rate (546 free throw attempts/1,390 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 31%

Samford has a 39% free throw rate (546 free throw attempts/1,390 field goal attempts) this season — 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 5.2 steals per game (124 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Citadel has averaged 4.9 steals per game (270 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Citadel has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,405 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.1

The Citadel has allowed 8.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Samford has 174 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams

Samford has averaged 7.2 steals per game (174 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Samford has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,355 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.