The Citadel vs Samford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 5

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  • Samford is a -12.5 point favorite vs The Citadel
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • The Citadel / Samford TV channel: ESPN+

The The Citadel Bulldogs visit Pete Hanna Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Homewood, AL.

Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-118).

The The Citadel vs. Samford Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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The Citadel vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

The Citadel vs Samford Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Samford will win this college basketball game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

The Citadel vs Samford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Samford will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • 5-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -16.83% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -11.34% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 13.85% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -22.51% ROI

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,622 points/1,337 shots) this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Citadel is shooting 42% (564/1,337) this season — 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

The Citadel has a 29% free throw rate (393 free throw attempts/1,337 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 35%

The Citadel made 6.2 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford averaged 86.4 points per game (2,937 points/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 75.0

Samford has 21.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 18.8

Samford averaged 86.4 points per game (2,937 points/34 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Samford assisted on 599 field goals last season — most among Southern Teams

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (625/1,322) this season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

The Citadel has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 5th highest among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 8.7

The Citadel has averaged 5.1 steals per game (117 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Citadel allowed opponents to shoot 46% (833/1,828) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford forced 16.0 turnovers per game (544 turnovers/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Samford has forced 14.1 turnovers per game (1,253 turnovers/89 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.2

Samford averaged 10.0 steals per game (341 steals/34 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Samford forced 15.3 turnovers per game (506 turnovers/33 games) last season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.