The Citadel vs Samford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 1

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  • Samford is a -19.5 point favorite vs The Citadel
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • The Citadel / Samford TV channel: ESPN+

The The Citadel Bulldogs visit Pete Hanna Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs on Jan. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Homewood, AL.

Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The The Citadel vs. Samford Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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The Citadel vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
The Citadel+19.5 -110O 156.5 -110+1250
Samford -19.5 -110U 156.5 -110-3000

The Citadel vs Samford Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Samford will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

The Citadel vs Samford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Samford will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Citadel has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Citadel has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 26 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 26 games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Moneyline in their last 16 games at home (+16.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+15.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 6.34% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has a 32% free throw rate (209 free throw attempts/648 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 27%

The Citadel is shooting 30% from three (94/315) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

The Citadel averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,196 points/1,736 shots) last season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Citadel has 19.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 17.0

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford averaged 86.4 points per game (2,937 points/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 75.0

Samford has averaged 89.0 points per game (1,157 points/13 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 77.5

Samford has averaged 87.1 points per game (4,094 points/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 75.7

Samford has made 11.7 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 25.6 defensive rebounds per game (282 rebounds/11 games) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Citadel allowed opponents to shoot 46% (833/1,828) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

The Citadel allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (2,212 points/1,828 shots) last season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 1.22

The Citadel has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (3,007 points/2,472 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th highest among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 1.22

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has 482 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Southern Teams

Samford stole the ball 341 times last season — most among Southern Teams

Samford has averaged 10.3 steals per game (482 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Samford has averaged 10.3 steals per game (482 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.