- Toledo (24-6) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Ball State (20-10)
- Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS Sports Network
The Toledo Rockets (24-6) visit John E. Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals (20-10) on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Muncie.
Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Toledo vs. Ball State Over/Under is 158.5 total points.
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Toledo vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Toledo | -3.5 -115 | O 158.5 -105 | -185 |
| Ball State | +3.5 -105 | U 158.5 -115 | +150 |
Toledo vs Ball State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 58.1% confidence.
Toledo vs Ball State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and Ball State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Moneyline in their last 14 games (+14.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Ball State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Ball State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has gone 18-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI).
- 23-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -4.52% ROI
- 20-8 when betting the Over for +11.2 Units / 35.11% ROI
- 8-20 when betting the Under for -14 Units / -43.89% ROI
Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Ball State has gone 16-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 9.33% ROI
- 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 12.68% ROI
- 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.65 Units / -21.56% ROI
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (335 assists/ 225 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Toledo has a TS% of 51% this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%
Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (856 assists/ 571 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Toledo is shooting 49% (672/1,375) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has 24.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Ball State has attempted 547 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams
Ball State has 22.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 18.5
Ball State has a 45% free throw rate (547 free throw attempts/1,205 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has 154 steals this season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams
Toledo has averaged 7.0 steals per game (154 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Toledo has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,489 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Toledo has averaged 6.1 steals per game (343 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9
Ball State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (137 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Ball State has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,291 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Ball State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (325 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5
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