- Bowling Green is a -3.5 point favorite vs Toledo
- Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
- Toledo / Bowling Green TV channel: ESPN+
The Toledo Rockets visit Stroh Center to take on the Bowling Green Falcons on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00 pm in Bowling Green, OH.
Bowling Green is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-118).
The Toledo vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 150.5 total points.
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Toledo vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Toledo | +3.5 -102 | O 150.5 -110 | +154 |
| Bowling Green | -3.5 -118 | U 150.5 -110 | -190 |
Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this college basketball game with 67.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Toledo vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 56.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Bowling Green Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 39% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 3.95% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI
- 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Bowling Green has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.25% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -2.91% ROI
- 7-15 when betting the Over for -9.5 Units / -39.26% ROI
- 15-7 when betting the Under for +7.3 Units / 30.17% ROI
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (547 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Toledo averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (291 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Toledo had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (417 assists/ 329 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:
Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Bowling Green is shooting 48% (705/1,463) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Bowling Green averaged 11.2 assists per game (380 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
Bowling Green has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,978 points/1,463 shots) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (476/1,310) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 34%
Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,520/5,269) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,281 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.9
Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:
Bowling Green has averaged 10.8 steals per game (258 steals/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Bowling Green has forced 15.9 turnovers per game (382 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.8
Bowling Green has allowed 71.1 points per game (1,707 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 76.3
Bowling Green allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (254/700) last season — 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
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