- Toledo is a -6.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
- Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
- Toledo / Buffalo TV channel: ESPN+
The Toledo Rockets visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Buffalo, NY, USA.
Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Toledo vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 159.5 total points.
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Toledo vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Toledo | -6.5 -110 | O 159.5 -115 | -285 |
| Buffalo | +6.5 -110 | U 159.5 -105 | +225 |
Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Toledo vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 18 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+2.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Buffalo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -14.81% ROI).
- 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -7.58% ROI
- 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
- 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Buffalo has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -15.41% ROI).
- 6-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -25% ROI
- 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -12.2% ROI
- 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.81% ROI
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (245 turnovers/26 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (574 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (339 assists/ 245 TOs) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo has averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (842 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5
Buffalo has averaged 14.7 turnovers per game (412 turnovers/28 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has averaged 5.3 steals per game (138 steals/26 games) this season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Toledo has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (623 rebounds/26 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.9
Toledo stole the ball 230 times last season — most among Mid-American Teams
Toledo averaged 7.2 steals per game (230 steals/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo has averaged 25.6 defensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/28 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.9
Buffalo has allowed 80.8 points per game (2,262 points/28 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 75.1
Buffalo allowed opponents to shoot 47% (884/1,866) last season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4
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