Toledo vs Detroit Mercy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 16

Detroit Mercy head coach Mike Davis reacts after a foul call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against YOungstown State in the quarterfinals of the Horizon League tournament Thursday, March 2, 2023, in Youngstown, Ohio.
(AP Photo/David Dermer)
  • Toledo is a -10.5 point favorite vs Detroit Mercy
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Toledo / Detroit Mercy TV channel: ESPN+

The Toledo Rockets visit Calihan Hall to take on the Detroit Mercy Titans on Nov. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo-10.5 -115O 153.5 -110-650
Detroit Mercy +10.5 -105U 153.5 -110+450

Toledo vs Detroit Mercy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Toledo vs Detroit Mercy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 66.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 2-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 19.8% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Detroit Mercy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Detroit Mercy has a 2-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (329 turnovers/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Toledo had a TS% of 49% last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 47%

Toledo averaged 1.33 points per shot (2,560 points/1,921 shots) last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Detroit Mercy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy shot 42% (733/1,746) last season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Detroit Mercy averaged 1.17 points per shot (2,044 points/1,746 shots) last season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Detroit Mercy made 5.9 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Detroit Mercy had a TS% of 45% last season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 48%

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo stole the ball 230 times last season — most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo averaged 7.2 steals per game (230 steals/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Toledo averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (733 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Detroit Mercy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Detroit Mercy allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (251/675) last season — tied for 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Detroit Mercy averaged 7.0 steals per game (216 steals/31 games) last season — 5th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.