- Toledo is a -6.5 point favorite vs Western Michigan
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Toledo / Western Michigan TV channel: ESPN+
The Toledo Rockets visit University Arena to take on the Western Michigan Broncos on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Kalamazoo, MI.
Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Toledo vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Toledo vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Toledo vs Western Michigan Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 61.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Toledo vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Western Michigan Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has a 11-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -5.43% ROI
- 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
- 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Western Michigan has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -22.68% ROI
- 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (542 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Toledo had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (417 assists/ 329 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Toledo shot 38% from three (207/549) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%
Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:
Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%
Western Michigan averaged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (366 rebounds/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3
Western Michigan has averaged 1.19 points per shot (6,171 points/5,177 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,492/5,204) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,492/5,204) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%
Toledo has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,255 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.0
Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:
Western Michigan has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (225 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.8
Western Michigan has averaged 5.1 steals per game (112 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Western Michigan has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 7.8
Western Michigan has forced 10.9 turnovers per game (928 turnovers/85 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.2
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