- Troy (16-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State (10-17)
- Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Troy Trojans (16-11) visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-17) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Jonesboro.
Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 129.5 total points.
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Troy vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Troy | -5.5 -110 | O 129.5 -115 | -250 |
| Arkansas State | +5.5 -110 | U 129.5 -105 | +200 |
Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 61.7% confidence.
Troy vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Arkansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+14.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 away games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 42 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has gone 13-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 3.02% ROI
- 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI
- 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has gone 8-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -19.44% ROI
- 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (311 turnovers/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Troy has made 7.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Troy has made 185 three-pointers this season — tied for 4th most among Sunbelt Teams
Troy is shooting 32% from three (185/579) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Arkansas State has averaged 65.0 points per game (1,561 points/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.3
Arkansas State is shooting 43% (573/1,334) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Arkansas State is shooting 34% from three (143/424) this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Troy has averaged 8.5 steals per game (205 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Troy has averaged 8.5 steals per game (205 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Arkansas State has 392 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (1,626 points/1,284 shots) this season — 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.18
Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (353/996) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
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