Troy vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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  • Troy is a -5.5 point favorite vs Georgia State
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Troy / Georgia State TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans visit GSU Convocation Center to take on the Georgia State Panthers on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Decatur, GA.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Troy vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Troy vs Georgia State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 away games (+15.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.15 Units / 9.31% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -9.37% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 13.85% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -22.51% ROI

Georgia State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Georgia State has a 11-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -9.24% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.8

Troy has averaged 82.8 points per game (1,822 points/22 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 74.7

Troy averaged 79.5 points per game (2,385 points/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.0

Troy has an eFG% of 53% this season — tied for 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia State is shooting 39% (501/1,298) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 44%

Georgia State averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (291 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Georgia State has an eFG% of 46% this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Georgia State is shooting 80% from the free throw line (379/476) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy has averaged 9.7 steals per game (827 steals/85 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Troy forced 15.2 turnovers per game (455 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Georgia State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (220/733) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Georgia State forced 10.2 turnovers per game (315 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Georgia State forced 10.2 turnovers per game (315 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.8

Georgia State allowed opponents to shoot 43% (816/1,914) last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.