Troy vs James Madison Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:15 AM
  • James Madison (21-10) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Troy (20-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (20-12) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the James Madison Dukes (21-10) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Pensacola.

James Madison is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Troy vs. James Madison Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

Bet now on James Madison vs Troy & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Troy vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+3.5 -115O 145.5 -110+135
James Madison -3.5 -105U 145.5 -110-160

Troy vs James Madison Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 56.9% confidence.

Troy vs James Madison Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and James Madison, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on James Madison vs Troy and all games with BetMGM


  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 away games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 47 games (+3.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has gone 14-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

  • 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 6.79% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.19% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.97% ROI

James Madison Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

James Madison has gone 18-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+7 Units / 22.73% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.1 Units / -23.68% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.54% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.35 Units / -4.39% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy is shooting 32% from three (185/579) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Troy has made 185 three-pointers this season — tied for 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Troy has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,748 points/1,414 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Troy has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (782 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 12.2

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends:

James Madison has averaged 1.36 points per shot (1,999 points/1,466 shots) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

James Madison has averaged 83.3 points per game (1,999 points/24 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

James Madison is shooting 48% (703/1,466) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 45%

James Madison has averaged 1.30 points per shot (4,177 points/3,203 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Troy has averaged 8.5 steals per game (205 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends:

James Madison has averaged 9.3 steals per game (494 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

James Madison has averaged 10.3 steals per game (247 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

James Madison has 494 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Sunbelt Teams

James Madison has averaged 10.3 steals per game (247 steals/24 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5


Bet now on James Madison vs Troy and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.