Troy vs James Madison Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

(AP Photo)
  • Troy is a -1.5 point favorite vs James Madison
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Troy / James Madison TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the James Madison Dukes on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Pensacola, FL, USA.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Troy vs. James Madison Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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Troy vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy-1.5 -115O 131.5 -110-135
James Madison +1.5 -105U 131.5 -110+110

Troy vs James Madison Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs James Madison Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+15.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI).

  • 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -6.52% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -21.5% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 12.26% ROI

James Madison Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

James Madison has a 11-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / -24.03% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 5.07% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -14.69% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.35% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy is shooting 30% from three (227/759) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Troy had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.8

Troy has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (406 assists/ 388 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Troy has averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (380 rebounds/29 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.4

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends:

James Madison averaged 83.8 points per game (2,766 points/33 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.0

James Madison shot 48% (988/2,074) last season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 44%

James Madison had an eFG% of 55% last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

James Madison averaged 16.2 assists per game (533 assists/33 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 10.1 steals per game (598 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy has averaged 9.7 steals per game (281 steals/29 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.7

James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends:

James Madison averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (875 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

James Madison averaged 9.1 steals per game (301 steals/33 games) last season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

James Madison stole the ball 301 times last season — 2nd most among Sunbelt Teams

James Madison averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (875 rebounds/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.