Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

(AP Photo)
  • Troy is a -8.5 point favorite vs Southern Miss
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Troy / Southern Miss TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans visit Reed Green Coliseum to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Hattiesburg, MS, USA.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Troy vs. Southern Miss Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy-8.5 -115O 144.5 -115-450
Southern Miss +8.5 -105U 144.5 -105+333

Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs Southern Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+0.55 Units / 3% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -8.57% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -22.74% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 13.51% ROI

Southern Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Miss has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI).

  • 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.95 Units / -32.17% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -14.33% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 5.83% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (367 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Troy averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Troy is shooting 30% from three (220/733) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Troy has averaged 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.1

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Miss has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (789 assists/ 778 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Southern Miss has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Southern Miss shot 46% from inside the arc (461/1,003) last season — 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Southern Miss averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (659 free throw attempts/1,717 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy has averaged 10.1 steals per game (586 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Troy has averaged 9.6 steals per game (269 steals/28 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Southern Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Miss has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (750 rebounds/30 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Southern Miss has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,482 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Southern Miss allowed opponents to shoot 43% (757/1,768) last season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Southern Miss has allowed 7.7 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.5


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