- Troy is a -5.5 point favorite vs Texas State
- Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
- Troy / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+
The Troy Trojans visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Marcos, TX.
Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Troy vs. Texas State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.
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Troy vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Troy | -5.5 -105 | O 140.5 -110 | -225 |
| Texas State | +5.5 -115 | U 140.5 -110 | +185 |
Troy vs Texas State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Troy vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+14.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.15 Units / 16.4% ROI).
- 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -7.04% ROI
- 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 3.95% ROI
- 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -12.65% ROI
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 3.61% ROI
- 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI
- 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has 22.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 20.0
Troy has made 9.9 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0
Troy averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Troy averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (695 free throw attempts/1,840 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 27th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Texas State has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0
Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Texas State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 9.6 steals per game (839 steals/87 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Troy forced 15.2 turnovers per game (455 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has 226 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Texas State has allowed 7.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 8.0
Texas State has forced 13.1 turnovers per game (327 turnovers/25 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.1
Texas State has averaged 9.0 steals per game (226 steals/25 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9
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