Troy vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

Close up of the Texas State coach
(AP Photo)
  • Troy is a -1.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Troy / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Marcos, TX, USA.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Texas State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy-1.5 -110O 141.5 -110-135
Texas State +1.5 -110U 141.5 -110+110

Troy vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 79.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games (+15.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI).

  • 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -9.4% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -27.08% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Under for +5.1 Units / 17.89% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -8.39% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -11.26% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 16.84% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -25.59% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy is shooting 30% from three (210/699) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Troy made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Troy averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 22nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State has made 5.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Texas State had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy has averaged 9.6 steals per game (260 steals/27 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Troy stole the ball 317 times last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (206/557) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (2,023 points/1,581 shots) this season — tied for 34th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.