UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

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  • Michigan State is a -8.5 point favorite vs UCLA
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • UCLA / Michigan State TV channel: PEAC | NBCS

The UCLA Bruins visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30 pm in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The UCLA vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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UCLA vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UCLA vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 0% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 0% ROI)

UCLA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCLA has a 9-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 0.29% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.34% ROI).

  • 20-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 0.91% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA averaged 1.31 points per shot (476 points/363 shots) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.39

UCLA averaged 67.2 points per game (873 points/13 games) last season — tied for lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 77.4

UCLA shot 30% from three (27/91) in the first half last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UCLA is shooting 38% from three (190/499) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has 549 offensive rebounds at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (268 assists/ 152 TOs) in the second half last season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan State has made 6.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Michigan State has averaged 18.5 assists per game (463 assists/25 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 15.3

UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (128/427) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

UCLA has allowed 63.6 points per game (3,436 points/54 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 69.0

UCLA has averaged 22.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,997 rebounds/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.4

UCLA allowed 32.6 points per game (424 points/13 games) in the second half last season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.3

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (319/1,117) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (523/1,712) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (294/1,019) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (435/1,483) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.