UCLA vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 3

Northwestern head coach Chris Collins coaches against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, March 5, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Northwestern won 65-53. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • UCLA is a -3.5 point favorite vs Northwestern
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • UCLA / Northwestern TV channel: FS1

The UCLA Bruins visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Evanston, IL, USA.

UCLA is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The UCLA vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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UCLA vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCLA-3.5 -110O 132.5 -110-170
Northwestern +3.5 -110U 132.5 -110+140

UCLA vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCLA will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UCLA vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UCLA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+5.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+6.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)

UCLA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCLA has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 15.82% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 0.84% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -20.94% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 12.26% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.24% ROI
  • 20-9 when betting the Over for +9.9 Units / 30.84% ROI
  • 9-20 when betting the Under for -12.9 Units / -40.57% ROI

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (463 assists/ 310 TOs) this season — tied for best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

UCLA shot 30% from three (27/91) in the first half last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UCLA shot 42% (309/733) last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

UCLA averaged 67.2 points per game (873 points/13 games) last season — tied for lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 77.4

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (294 turnovers/36 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.8

Northwestern has averaged 1.08 points per shot (917 points/852 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Northwestern is shooting 40% (340/852) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northwestern averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (290 turnovers/32 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA has allowed 65.0 points per game (1,885 points/29 games) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.2

UCLA has forced 15.4 turnovers per game (446 turnovers/29 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

UCLA has allowed 29.4 points per game (853 points/29 games) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33.6

UCLA has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (642 rebounds/29 games) this season — 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (736 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern has averaged 23.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,410 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.4

Northwestern averaged 7.2 steals per game (229 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Northwestern has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (152/511) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%


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