- UConn (23-7) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Villanova (16-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The UConn Huskies (23-7) visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Villanova Wildcats (16-14) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Philadelphia.
UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The UConn vs. Villanova Over/Under is 138.5 total points.
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UConn vs. Villanova Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UConn | -2.5 -110 | O 138.5 -110 | -145 |
| Villanova | +2.5 -110 | U 138.5 -110 | +120 |
UConn vs Villanova Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 53.5% confidence.
UConn vs Villanova Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UConn and Villanova, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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UConn Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UConn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+16.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- UConn have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- UConn have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- UConn has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Villanova Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Villanova has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+12.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Villanova has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Villanova have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Villanova have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UConn has gone 19-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.95 Units / 21.06% ROI).
- 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -2.45% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Villanova has gone 12-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -11.13% ROI
- 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 17.3 assists per game (398 assists/23 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
UConn has averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (293 rebounds/23 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5
UConn has 471 offensive rebounds at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Big East Teams
UConn has a 35% free throw rate (479 free throw attempts/1,382 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:
Villanova is shooting 83% from the free throw line (836/1,007) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Villanova has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (286 turnovers/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Villanova has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (617 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.2
Villanova has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (617 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.2
UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,497 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
UConn has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
UConn has averaged 6.3 steals per game (353 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.8
UConn has averaged 6.8 steals per game (157 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:
Villanova has allowed 64.9 points per game (3,894 points/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 69.5
Villanova has allowed 34.4 points per game (2,061 points/60 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 36.2
Villanova has averaged 5.6 steals per game (124 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Villanova has allowed 62.3 points per game (1,930 points/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 67.6
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