UMBC vs American Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 29

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  • American is a -2.5 point favorite vs UMBC
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • UMBC / American TV channel: ESPN+

The UMBC Retrievers visit Bender Arena to take on the American Eagles on Dec. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Washington, DC.

American is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The UMBC vs. American Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. American Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC+2.5 -110O 148.5 -110+125
American -2.5 -110U 148.5 -110-150

UMBC vs American Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UMBC will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UMBC vs American Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts American will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+7.88 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.46 Units / 46% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 away games (+1.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • American University have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • American University has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • American University has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • American University has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • American University have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -8.59% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI

American Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

American has a 5-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -32.06% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has made 9.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.6

UMBC shot 35% from three (246/692) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC is shooting 40% from three (135/342) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 35%

UMBC averaged 25% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (490 free throw attempts/1,988 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

American Offensive Stats & Trends:

American shot 57% from inside the arc (304/535) last season — best among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 50%

American had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (426 assists/ 307 TOs) last season — tied for best among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 1.2

American averaged 1.27 points per shot (2,078 points/1,631 shots) last season — best among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 1.18

American made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — best among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC averaged 25.9 defensive rebounds per game (804 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UMBC averaged 5.2 steals per game (162 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UMBC has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (346 rebounds/14 games) this season — 4th best among America East Teams; League Avg: 24.1

UMBC has 112 steals this season — 3rd most among America East Teams

American Defensive Stats & Trends:

American averaged 22.7 defensive rebounds per game (681 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

American allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (258/700) last season — 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

American allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

American has allowed 71.6 points per game (788 points/11 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Patriot League Teams ; League Avg: 73.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.