- South Florida is a -22.5 point favorite vs UMBC
- Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
- UMBC / South Florida TV channel: ESPN+
The UMBC Retrievers visit Yuengling Center to take on the South Florida Bulls on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Tampa, FL.
South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-102).
The UMBC vs. South Florida Over/Under is 156.5 total points.
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UMBC vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UMBC | +22.5 -118 | O 156.5 -115 | |
| South Florida | -22.5 -102 | U 156.5 -105 |
UMBC vs South Florida Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this college basketball game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
UMBC vs South Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence for today’s game.
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UMBC Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- UMBC have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
South Florida Basketball Best Bets Today:
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.15 Units / 0% ROI)
UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UMBC has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -14.32% ROI
- 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
South Florida has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.05% ROI
- 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (779 points/682 shots) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 1.24
UMBC allowed 80.9 points per game (2,508 points/31 games) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
UMBC has allowed 70.8 points per game (779 points/11 games) this season — 3rd best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 74.2
UMBC allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (235/745) last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:
South Florida has a 45% free throw rate (329 free throw attempts/732 field goal attempts) this season — 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 35%
South Florida had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (463 assists/ 344 TOs) last season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
South Florida is shooting 43% (316/732) this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
South Florida has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,099 assists/ 833 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (779 points/682 shots) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 1.24
UMBC allowed 80.9 points per game (2,508 points/31 games) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
UMBC has allowed 70.8 points per game (779 points/11 games) this season — 3rd best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 74.2
UMBC allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (235/745) last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:
South Florida has a 45% free throw rate (329 free throw attempts/732 field goal attempts) this season — 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 35%
South Florida had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (463 assists/ 344 TOs) last season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
South Florida is shooting 43% (316/732) this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
South Florida has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,099 assists/ 833 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
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