- Vermont is a -7.5 point favorite vs UMBC
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- UMBC / Vermont TV channel: ESPN+
The UMBC Retrievers visit Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium to take on the Vermont Catamounts on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Burlington, VT.
Vermont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The UMBC vs. Vermont Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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UMBC vs. Vermont Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UMBC | +7.5 -110 | O 139.5 -110 | +275 |
| Vermont | -7.5 -110 | U 139.5 -110 | -350 |
UMBC vs Vermont Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Vermont will win this college basketball game with 73.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
UMBC vs Vermont Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Vermont will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence for today’s game.
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UMBC Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Vermont Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Vermont has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- Vermont have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UMBC has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.12% ROI
- 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
- 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
Vermont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Vermont has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI).
- 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.01% ROI
- 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
- 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC is shooting 37% from three (688/1,861) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%
UMBC is shooting 38% from three (442/1,169) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%
UMBC made 9.0 three-pointers per game last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.5
UMBC is shooting 36% from three (155/430) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 32%
Vermont Offensive Stats & Trends:
Vermont had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (454 assists/ 289 TOs) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Vermont has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (196 turnovers/21 games) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Vermont averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/33 games) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Vermont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (271 assists/ 196 TOs) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.0
UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,337 points/1,166 shots) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 1.25
UMBC allowed 80.9 points per game (2,508 points/31 games) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
UMBC allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (235/745) last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (120/377) this season — 2nd best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 34%
Vermont Defensive Stats & Trends:
Vermont allowed 63.6 points per game (2,100 points/33 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Vermont has forced 8.9 turnovers per game (186 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Vermont allowed 63.6 points per game (2,100 points/33 games) last season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 73.3
Vermont allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,100 points/1,869 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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