UNLV vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:25 AM
  • Nevada (22-8) is a -8.5 point favorite vs UNLV (17-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Watch the game on MW Network

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (17-12) visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (22-8) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Reno.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The UNLV vs. Nevada Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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UNLV vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV+8.5 -110O 142.5 -115+310
Nevada -8.5 -110U 142.5 -105-400

UNLV vs Nevada Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Nevada will win this game with 66.7% confidence.

UNLV vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Nevada, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Nevada vs UNLV and all games with BetMGM


  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+16.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+15.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 33 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has gone 14-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / -4.39% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -11.34% ROI
  • 19-9 when betting the Over for +9.1 Units / 29.55% ROI
  • 9-19 when betting the Under for -11.9 Units / -38.64% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has gone 19-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+9.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 18.48% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has a TS% of 46% in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

UNLV is shooting 31% (58/186) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 41%

UNLV is shooting 31% from inside the arc (24/78) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 45%

UNLV has averaged 1.06 points per shot (398 points/376 shots) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.16

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Nevada is shooting 28% (23/83) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Nevada has averaged 2.6 turnovers per game (44 turnovers/17 games) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 3.3

Nevada has averaged 0.88 points per shot (86 points/98 shots) on mid-range shots this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 0.76

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 18.7 turnovers per game (412 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

UNLV has averaged 9.6 steals per game (212 steals/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.1

UNLV has 212 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

UNLV has averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (534 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has forced 13.0 turnovers per game (300 turnovers/23 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,534 points/1,276 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Nevada has allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Nevada has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (607 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.