USC vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 5

• Michigan State is a -11.5 point favorite vs USC
• Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
• USC / Michigan State TV channel: FS1

The USC Trojans visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Jan. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The USC vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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USC vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

USC vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

USC vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.

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USC Basketball Best Bets Today:

• USC has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• USC has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 2% ROI)
• USC has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 34 games (+1.00 Units / 0% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+18.85 Units / 1% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• Michigan State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+2.70 Units / 10% ROI)

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has a 6-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI).

• 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 2.05% ROI
• 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
• 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 6-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.65 Units / -10.68% ROI).

• 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.4 Units / 0.87% ROI
• 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
• 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC allowed 41.2 points per game (535 points/13 games) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.3

USC allowed an average of 1.38 points per shot (535 points/388 shots) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (363/880) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

USC allowed 8.3 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 48th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has 472 offensive rebounds at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State averaged 16.1 assists per game (549 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Michigan State averaged 29% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (591 free throw attempts/2,003 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC allowed 41.2 points per game (535 points/13 games) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.3

USC allowed an average of 1.38 points per shot (535 points/388 shots) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (363/880) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

USC allowed 8.3 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 48th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has 472 offensive rebounds at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State averaged 16.1 assists per game (549 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Michigan State averaged 29% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (591 free throw attempts/2,003 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

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