- Michigan State (19-12) is a Michigan St -1.5 point favorite vs USC (22-10)
- Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The #10 seed USC Trojans (22-10) visit Nationwide Arena to take on the #7 Michigan State Spartans (19-12) on Mar. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 12:15pm EDT in Columbus.
Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The USC vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.
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USC vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| USC | +1.5 -105 | O 137.5 -110 | +110 |
| Michigan State | -1.5 -115 | U 137.5 -110 | -135 |
USC vs Michigan State Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this March Madness game with 55.2% confidence.
USC vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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USC Basketball Best Bets Today:
- USC have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- USC has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- USC have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+13.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
USC has gone 17-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.55 Units / 1.56% ROI).
- 21-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 8.47% ROI
- 17-15 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI
- 15-17 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has gone 15-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -7.61% ROI).
- 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 5.76% ROI
- 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI
- 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI
USC Offensive Stats & Trends:
USC is shooting 68% from the free throw line (299/441) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 72%
USC has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,582 points/1,251 shots) this season — 2nd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
USC is shooting 37% from three (180/481) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%
USC is shooting 66% from the free throw line (234/357) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (153/404) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (329 assists/ 243 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (215/563) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has 14.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4
USC Defensive Stats & Trends:
USC has 161 steals this season — 5th most among Pac 12 Teams
USC has averaged 7.3 steals per game (161 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
USC has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,535 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
USC has averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has forced 9.2 turnovers per game (148 turnovers/16 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (233/817) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%
Michigan State has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (587 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (399/1,278) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%
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