- Utah State (26-8) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Missouri (24-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The #10 seed Utah State Aggies (26-8) visit Golden 1 Center to take on the #7 seed Missouri Tigers (24-9) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Sacramento.
Utah State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Utah State vs. Missouri Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Utah State vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah State | -1.5 -105 | O 154.5 -110 | -115 |
| Missouri | +1.5 -115 | U 154.5 -110 | -105 |
Utah State vs Missouri Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah State will win this March Madness game with 54.9% confidence.
Utah State vs Missouri Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Utah State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 games (+17.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Missouri Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+28.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 50 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Utah State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Utah State has gone 21-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.8 Units / 21.46% ROI).
- 25-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -4.94% ROI
- 20-13 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 15.7% ROI
- 13-20 when betting the Under for -9 Units / -24.79% ROI
Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri has gone 17-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.55 Units / -1.52% ROI).
- 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.35 Units / 20.61% ROI
- 18-15 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- 15-18 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -13.22% ROI
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Utah State is shooting 41% from three (228/549) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%
Utah State has averaged 1.28 points per shot (245 points/192 shots) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.06
Utah State has made 5.8 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 4.9
Utah State is shooting 41% from three (228/549) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri has an eFG% of 56% this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%
Missouri is shooting 47% (321/680) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%
Missouri has averaged 9.0 assists per game (199 assists/22 games) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Missouri has a TS% of 52% this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Utah State has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (622 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Utah State has allowed 7.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Utah State has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,634 points/1,365 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20
Utah State has averaged 4.8 steals per game (110 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri has averaged 11.0 steals per game (242 steals/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8
Missouri has 242 steals this season — most among SEC Teams
Missouri has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (483 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Missouri has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (3,983 points/3,134 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18
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