UTSA vs East Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

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  • East Carolina is a -10.5 point favorite vs UTSA
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • UTSA / East Carolina TV channel: ESPN+

The UTSA Roadrunners visit Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum to take on the East Carolina Pirates on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Greenville, NC.

East Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The UTSA vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

UTSA vs East Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this college basketball game with 77.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UTSA vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 60.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+8.25 Units / 206% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+6.65 Units / 149% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.85 Units / 32% ROI)

UTSA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTSA has a 6-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.5 Units / -45.36% ROI).

  • 2-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.95 Units / -77.87% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Over for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Under for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has a 8-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • 6-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -30.43% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA is shooting 29% from three (168/585) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UTSA has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (248 assists/ 296 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UTSA has a 29% free throw rate (926 free throw attempts/3,215 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 37%

UTSA has averaged 1.19 points per shot (6,037 points/5,068 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina shot 31% from three (205/664) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (240 assists/ 266 TOs) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

East Carolina averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (381 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

East Carolina had a TS% of 44% last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (6,418 points/4,887 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

UTSA forced 9.8 turnovers per game (283 turnovers/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.9

UTSA has allowed an average of 1.34 points per shot (4,083 points/3,051 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

UTSA averaged 5.1 steals per game (149 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (581/1,288) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

East Carolina has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (1,675 points/1,288 shots) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (444/1,196) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,246 points/1,781 shots) last season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.