UTSA vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

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  • North Texas is a -16.5 point favorite vs UTSA
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • UTSA / North Texas TV channel: ESPN+

The UTSA Roadrunners visit The Super Pit to take on the North Texas Mean Green on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Denton, TX.

North Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-115).

The UTSA vs. North Texas Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

UTSA vs North Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this college basketball game with 78.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UTSA vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 35 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)

UTSA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTSA has a 3-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.3 Units / -64.2% ROI).

  • 2-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -71.75% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 3.26% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Over for -8.1 Units / -46.02% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Under for +6.6 Units / 37.5% ROI

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has a TS% of 42% this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

UTSA is shooting 29% from three (139/486) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UTSA has averaged 1.10 points per shot (1,234 points/1,125 shots) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

UTSA is shooting 39% (435/1,125) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (5,994 points/4,574 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

UTSA averaged 5.1 steals per game (149 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UTSA forced 9.8 turnovers per game (283 turnovers/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.9

UTSA allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (2,335 points/1,836 shots) last season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has a TS% of 42% this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

UTSA is shooting 29% from three (139/486) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UTSA has averaged 1.10 points per shot (1,234 points/1,125 shots) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

UTSA is shooting 39% (435/1,125) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (5,994 points/4,574 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

UTSA averaged 5.1 steals per game (149 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UTSA forced 9.8 turnovers per game (283 turnovers/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.9

UTSA allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (2,335 points/1,836 shots) last season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.